Thursday, August 28, 2008

Revised Q2 GDP

The revised number of the US GDP growth (3.3%) surprises a lot of ecnomists.
I am not surprised at all. It says one thing: we were not in Ression, at least not yet!! I had heard a lot of people saying we were in the worst recession after Great Depression over the past year. But it did not happen.
I was skeptical about it from the beginning. Why? Because I believe in this survey.
We should not expect a recession would come so frequently and seriously like several decades ago. Also don't underestimate the ability of Fed amid many negative shocks. The Fed had learned several hard lessons from the past history.