This article analyzes the Obama and Cliton's prices in the intrade on NH primary night. I think the intrade futures (or spot) market's incorrect prediction is simply reflecting the fact that the product per se (primary) is unpredictable.
I am an Associate Professor of Economics at Winona State University, where I teach Macroeconomics, International Economics and Forecasting Methods. This blog will provide my observations and collection of news, information, articles, and videos on the issues of global economies, finance, and business.
